Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.018726 0.020090 0.021504 0.023083 0.024796 0.026601 0.028648
2026-02-08 0.016212 0.018144 0.020248 0.022714 0.025533 0.028662 0.032408
2026-02-15 0.014634 0.016895 0.019446 0.022549 0.026236 0.030495 0.035812
2026-02-22 0.013412 0.015873 0.018730 0.022311 0.026702 0.031944 0.038721
2026-03-01 0.012470 0.015072 0.018167 0.022146 0.027162 0.033324 0.041539
2026-03-08 0.011681 0.014380 0.017661 0.021976 0.027550 0.034574 0.044201
2026-03-15 0.011106 0.013904 0.017372 0.022030 0.028183 0.036127 0.047301
2026-03-22 0.010542 0.013399 0.017005 0.021939 0.028594 0.037375 0.050030
2026-03-29 0.010061 0.012970 0.016700 0.021896 0.029042 0.038669 0.052862
2026-04-05 0.009603 0.012541 0.016367 0.021784 0.029371 0.039791 0.055489
2026-04-12 0.009240 0.012217 0.016151 0.021809 0.029874 0.041162 0.058528
2026-04-19 0.008944 0.011967 0.016018 0.021935 0.030511 0.042738 0.061940
2026-04-26 0.008528 0.011546 0.015646 0.021725 0.030688 0.043704 0.064573
2026-05-03 0.008095 0.011081 0.015193 0.021378 0.030646 0.044345 0.066755
2026-05-10 0.007755 0.010733 0.014886 0.021223 0.030873 0.045389 0.069618
2026-05-17 0.007421 0.010377 0.014548 0.021001 0.030977 0.046237 0.072201
2026-05-24 0.007131 0.010071 0.014269 0.020847 0.031170 0.047223 0.075056
2026-05-31 0.006860 0.009780 0.013997 0.020689 0.031340 0.048168 0.077888
2026-06-07 0.006664 0.009590 0.013866 0.020739 0.031837 0.049659 0.081731
2026-06-14 0.006444 0.009357 0.013658 0.020654 0.032107 0.050781 0.084992
2026-06-21 0.006249 0.009153 0.013485 0.020614 0.032443 0.052023 0.088536
2026-06-28 0.006049 0.008933 0.013279 0.020510 0.032662 0.053071 0.091782
2026-07-05 0.005891 0.008772 0.013156 0.020533 0.033093 0.054499 0.095814